SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 89.86%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 2.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 4-0 (11.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.58%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 11-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
89.86% ( -0.22) | 7.55% ( 0.15) | 2.59% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 35.14% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.93% ( -0.38) | 28.06% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.17% ( -0.47) | 48.82% ( 0.47) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.21% ( -0.09) | 3.79% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.82% ( -0.3) | 16.18% ( 0.3) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.53% ( 0.13) | 63.47% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.67% ( 0.06) | 92.32% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 3-0 @ 14.05% 2-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 4.59% Total : 89.84% | 1-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 7.55% | 0-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 2.59% |
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