SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg Women win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Wolfsburg Women |
65.99% ( 6.77) | 18.07% ( -1.09) | 15.94% ( -5.68) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( -7.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.22% ( -4.36) | 31.78% ( 4.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.69% ( -5.28) | 53.3% ( 5.28) |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( 0.3) | 9.01% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.29% ( 0.73) | 30.7% ( -0.74) |
| Wolfsburg Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( -8.15) | 32.95% ( 8.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( -10.15) | 69.53% ( 10.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Wolfsburg Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 2.09)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.48)1-0 @ 7.15% ( 1.66)3-0 @ 6.9% ( 1.75)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.75)4-0 @ 4.15% ( 1.1)4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.41)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.2)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.55)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.18)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.43)Other @ 4.18% Total : 65.99% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -1.03)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.66)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.75)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.07% | 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.93) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.98)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.85)Other @ 2.81% Total : 15.94% |
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