SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 81.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 6.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
81.65% ( 0.11) | 11.58% ( -0.1) | 6.77% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.98% ( 0.54) | 26.01% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.77% ( 0.69) | 46.23% ( -0.69) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.24% ( 0.12) | 4.76% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.76% ( 0.36) | 19.24% ( -0.35) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.48% ( 0.44) | 44.52% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.45% ( 0.35) | 80.55% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 3-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)7-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.75% Total : 81.65% | 1-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.03% Total : 11.58% | 1-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 6.77% |
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