SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.94%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 5.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 4-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
83.94% ( -0.36) | 10.77% ( 0.22) | 5.3% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.42) | 28.93% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.11% ( -0.51) | 49.89% ( 0.51) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.09% ( -0.13) | 4.92% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.28% ( -0.41) | 19.72% ( 0.41) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.54% ( 0.18) | 51.46% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.35% ( 0.12) | 85.65% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 3-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.74% Total : 83.92% | 1-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.77% | 1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.93% Total : 5.3% |
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