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Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
AN

Egypt
1 - 1
Algeria

Fathi (62')
Trezeguet (44'), Fathi (57')
Hany (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Slimani (90+3')
Touba (46'), Bensebaini (69'), Atal (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Zambia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Cape Verde
Thursday, October 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Egypt 1-1 Algeria

This should be a high-quality encounter between two of the best sides in Africa. While the visitors have put up better attacking numbers of late, Egypt's defence has been formidable, conceding just two goals in their last 10 matches. We expect a free-flowing match here but feel that these two African giants will end level at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
EgyptDrawAlgeria
47.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.03% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.92% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)59.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15% (0.011000000000003 0.01)39.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.49% (0.012 0.01)76.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 47.56%
    Algeria 25.03%
    Draw 27.39%
EgyptDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 13.83%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.56%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Zambia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-3 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Ethiopia
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 South Sudan
Sunday, June 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea 1-2 Egypt
Wednesday, June 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Cape Verde
Thursday, October 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 0-1 Algeria
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Tanzania
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Algeria
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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