SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Cape Verde |
57.42% ( 0) | 24.36% ( 0.01) | 18.23% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.69% ( -0.05) | 55.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( -0.04) | 76.53% ( 0.05) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( -0.02) | 19.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.22% ( -0.03) | 50.79% ( 0.03) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.53% ( -0.04) | 44.47% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.5% ( -0.04) | 80.51% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 57.41% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 18.23% |
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