Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.97%) and 1-2 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.19%), while for a Hungary win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
