Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Niger had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
