SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.18%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.96%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Venezuela |
61.9% ( 0.33) | 24.44% ( -0.06) | 13.65% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 36.17% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.01% ( -0.21) | 61.99% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.27% ( -0.16) | 81.73% ( 0.16) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( 0.04) | 20.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.79% ( 0.07) | 52.21% ( -0.07) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.23% ( -0.55) | 54.77% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.25% ( -0.34) | 87.75% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 17.63% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 14.18% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 61.89% | 0-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.09) 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.87% Total : 13.65% |
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