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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 11.05pm UK
 
ES

Costa Rica
2 - 1
El Salvador

Ruiz (52'), Borges (57' pen.)
Borges (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Henriquez (12')
Marcelo Diaz (46'), Dominguez (63')
Orellana (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Costa Rica in this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawEl Salvador
44.17%24.44%31.4%
Both teams to score 58.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69%44.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31%66.69%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81%20.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5%52.5%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76%62.24%
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 44.17%
    El Salvador 31.4%
    Draw 24.43%
Costa RicaDrawEl Salvador
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.4%

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