Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Costa Rica in this match.
