SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | San Marino |
55.62% ( 2.63) | 24.69% ( -0.76) | 19.69% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( 0.76) | 54.73% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( 0.63) | 76.04% ( -0.63) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( 1.36) | 19.61% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( 2.17) | 51.56% ( -2.17) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -1.56) | 42.43% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% ( -1.37) | 78.8% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | San Marino |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.59)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.61% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.69% |
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