SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 5.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (12.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Latvia |
81.94% ( 0.01) | 12.97% ( -0.01) | 5.09% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 35.13% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58% ( 0.01) | 41.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.6% ( 0.01) | 64.4% ( -0.01) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.06% ( 0) | 7.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.01) | 28.04% ( -0.01) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.16% ( -0.01) | 61.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 8.44% ( -0) | 91.56% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Latvia |
| 2-0 @ 15.75% 3-0 @ 13.3% 1-0 @ 12.43% 4-0 @ 8.43% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.05% 5-1 @ 2.05% 6-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.36% Total : 81.93% | 1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 12.97% | 0-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 1.3% Total : 5.09% |
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