SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 41.6%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Latvia |
41.6% ( 1.59) | 30.71% ( -0.29) | 27.7% ( -1.3) |
| Both teams to score 38.72% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0.41) | 68.35% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.84% ( 0.27) | 86.16% ( -0.27) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( 1.18) | 32.63% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.82% ( 1.31) | 69.17% ( -1.3) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0.86) | 42.53% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.11% ( -0.74) | 78.89% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | Latvia |
| 1-0 @ 15.54% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.6% | 0-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.22) 1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.69% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.11% Total : 27.69% |
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