SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Fiji win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiji | Draw | New Caledonia |
26.03% ( 0.38) | 24.83% ( 0.74) | 49.13% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( -2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -2.84) | 49.2% ( 2.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( -2.62) | 71.26% ( 2.61) |
| Fiji Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( -1.21) | 33.29% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( -1.35) | 69.91% ( 1.35) |
| New Caledonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -1.56) | 20.05% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% ( -2.57) | 52.27% ( 2.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiji | Draw | New Caledonia |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
