SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Fiji had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Fiji win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Fiji |
66.55% ( 0.52) | 19.17% ( -0.15) | 14.27% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.14) | 40.78% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.83% ( -0.14) | 63.17% ( 0.14) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( 0.1) | 11.38% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.89% ( 0.21) | 36.11% ( -0.22) |
| Fiji Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.17% ( -0.6) | 40.83% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.6% ( -0.54) | 77.4% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Fiji |
| 2-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.91% Total : 66.54% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.17% | 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.67% Total : 14.28% |
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