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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 10.30am UK
 

Myanmar
5 - 1
Macao

Moe Aung (39', 90+5'), Moe Kyaw (62'), Aung Kaung (81'), Nay Moe (90+1')
Aung Kaung (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torrao (55')
Seng Ng (42'), Torrao (48')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Myanmar and Macao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Myanmar 1-0 Nepal
Monday, September 11 at 11.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cambodia 4-0 Macao
Monday, September 11 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 83.04%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Macao had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.96%) and 1-0 (12.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Macao win it was 0-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Myanmar would win this match.

Result
MyanmarDrawMacao
83.04% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 12.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 4.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 32.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (0.012 0.01)42.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)65.34% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Myanmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.11% (0.0039999999999907 0)7.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Macao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.14% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.86% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)92.94%
Score Analysis
    Myanmar 83.03%
    Macao 4.46%
    Draw 12.5%
MyanmarDrawMacao
2-0 @ 16.5%
3-0 @ 13.96%
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 4.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 83.03%
1-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 12.5%
0-1 @ 2.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 4.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Myanmar 1-0 Nepal
Monday, September 11 at 11.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Myanmar 0-0 Nepal
Friday, September 8 at 11.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Macao 0-2 Myanmar
Monday, June 19 at 10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: China 4-0 Myanmar
Friday, June 16 at 11.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Myanmar 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Saturday, March 25 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: India 1-0 Myanmar
Wednesday, March 22 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cambodia 4-0 Macao
Monday, September 11 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Macao 0-1 Bhutan
Wednesday, September 6 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Macao 0-2 Myanmar
Monday, June 19 at 10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Macao 0-1 Singapore
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies


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