SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Nigeria |
63.31% ( 0.2) | 21.12% ( -0) | 15.58% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( -0.37) | 46.76% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( -0.35) | 69.02% ( 0.34) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( -0.06) | 14.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.23% ( -0.11) | 41.76% ( 0.11) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.27% ( -0.49) | 42.73% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.94% ( -0.42) | 79.06% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal | Draw | Nigeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 63.3% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.11% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
