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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
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Argentina
3 - 0
Bolivia

Messi (14', 64', 88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haquin (24'), Villarroel (31'), Vaca (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 70.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 7.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.45%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.24%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawBolivia
70.44%22.26%7.3%
Both teams to score 24.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.91%67.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.67%85.33%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16%18.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7%50.3%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
29.7%70.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.93%95.08%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 70.43%
    Bolivia 7.3%
    Draw 22.25%
ArgentinaDrawBolivia
1-0 @ 22.11%
2-0 @ 18.45%
3-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 70.43%
0-0 @ 13.24%
1-1 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 4.67%
1-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 7.3%

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