SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Peru |
| 62.16% | 23.41% | 14.44% |
| Both teams to score 40.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% | 57.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.73% | 78.27% |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% | 18.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.81% | 49.19% |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.18% | 50.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.78% | 85.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 15.75% 2-0 @ 13.42% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 5.16% 4-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.75% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 3.08% Other @ 0.42% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 6.26% 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 2.12% Other @ 2.45% Total : 14.44% |
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