Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolivia | Draw | Peru |
35.87% | 24.54% | 39.59% |
Both teams to score 59.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% | 43.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.01% | 65.99% |
Bolivia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% | 23.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.84% | 58.16% |
Peru Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% | 22.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.67% | 55.33% |
Score Analysis |
Bolivia | Draw | Peru |
2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.05% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.59% |
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