Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match.