SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Qatar |
61.42% ( -0.34) | 22.32% ( 0.19) | 16.25% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( -0.51) | 50.52% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( -0.45) | 72.44% ( 0.46) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( -0.29) | 15.98% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( -0.53) | 45.28% ( 0.54) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.9% ( -0.11) | 44.1% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.8% ( -0.09) | 80.2% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 61.41% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 16.25% |
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