SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
45.08% ( -0.27) | 24.71% ( 0.06) | 30.2% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.17) | 46.11% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( -0.16) | 68.41% ( 0.16) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( -0.19) | 20.53% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( -0.3) | 53.03% ( 0.3) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.05) | 28.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( 0.06) | 64.39% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.2% |
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