SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Venezuela |
53.76% ( -0) | 24.38% ( 0.05) | 21.85% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( -0.25) | 51.18% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( -0.22) | 73.02% ( 0.22) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -0.1) | 18.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.5% ( -0.16) | 50.5% ( 0.15) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% ( -0.19) | 38.13% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% ( -0.18) | 74.89% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.85% |
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