Vanuatu
vs.
Samoa

Data Analysis

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Vanuatu and Samoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vanuatu

Last Game: Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Samoa

Last Game: Tonga 2-1 Samoa
Monday, September 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Samoa win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Vanuatu has a probability of 24.09% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Vanuatu win is 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.54%).

Result
Vanuatu	Draw	Samoa
24.09%	22.73%	53.19%

Both teams to score 58.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.27%

41.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.87%

64.13%

Vanuatu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13%

30.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.84%

67.16%

Samoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3%

15.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.22%

44.77%

Score Analysis

Vanuatu 24.09%

Samoa 53.19%

Draw 22.72%

Vanuatu	Draw	Samoa
2-1 @ 6.2% 1-0 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.85% Total : 24.09%	1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 6.03% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.79% 0-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.64% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.19%