SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%).
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
38.01% ( -0.29) | 23.61% ( -0.08) | 38.37% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 62.97% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% ( 0.41) | 38.92% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( 0.43) | 61.24% ( -0.43) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 0.04) | 20.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% ( 0.06) | 53.35% ( -0.06) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( 0.36) | 20.56% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( 0.56) | 53.08% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.37% |
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