Dusseldorf
3 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue

Hennings (5', 90+1'), Ginczek (51' pen.)
Gavory (11'), Hennings (65'), de Wijs (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Osei Owusu (77')
Carlson (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Dusseldorf	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
64.01%	20.59%	15.4%

Both teams to score 50.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16%

44.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8%

67.2%

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7%

13.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.87%

40.14%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.21%

41.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.75%

78.26%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Dusseldorf 64%

Erzgebirge Aue 15.4%

Draw 20.59%

Fortuna Dusseldorf	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 6.64% 4-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.94% Total : 64%	1-1 @ 9.78% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.59%	0-1 @ 4.85% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.67% Total : 15.4%