SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
43.91% ( -0.32) | 23.81% ( 0.14) | 32.27% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.59) | 41.03% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( -0.61) | 63.42% ( 0.61) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -0.38) | 18.96% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( -0.63) | 50.49% ( 0.63) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( -0.18) | 24.78% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( -0.25) | 59.35% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.91% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.27% |
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