Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
