Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.