Holstein Kiel
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Porath (29'), Arp (37'), Mees (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nazarov (52'), Messeguem (59'), Zolinski (72'), Strauss (83'), Carlson (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
52.09%	25.32%	22.58%

Both teams to score 48.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.94%

54.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.51%

75.49%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23%

20.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59%

53.41%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.96%

39.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.24%

75.76%

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 52.09%

Erzgebirge Aue 22.58%

Draw 25.32%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.5% Total : 52.09%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 8.11% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.46% Total : 22.58%