Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
