Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Schalke 04 in this match.
