Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo Dresden	Draw	St Pauli
35.13%	24.25%	40.63%

Both teams to score 60.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.68%

42.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.28%

64.72%

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25%

23.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1%

57.9%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04%

20.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29%

53.71%

Score Analysis

Dynamo Dresden 35.13%

St Pauli 40.63%

Draw 24.25%

Dynamo Dresden	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3% Total : 35.13%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 8.74% 0-1 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 4.55% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.75% Total : 40.63%