SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 20 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 20 | 14 | 43 |
| 3 | Honka | 21 | 25 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 20 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | Ilves | 20 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 20 | 6 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Ilves win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Ilves |
63.69% ( -0.08) | 20.06% ( -0.37) | 16.25% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 2.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.2% ( 2.58) | 40.79% ( -2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( 2.59) | 63.18% ( -2.59) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.84% ( 0.76) | 12.16% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.22% ( 1.58) | 37.78% ( -1.58) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( 2.15) | 38.22% ( -2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.02% ( 2.02) | 74.98% ( -2.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Ilves |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.88)3-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.2)5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.68% Total : 63.68% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.28)0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.57)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.25% |
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