SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ilves |
37.68% ( -0.24) | 29.16% ( 0.04) | 33.16% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 44.26% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.51% ( -0.09) | 62.49% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.9% ( -0.07) | 82.1% ( 0.07) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( -0.2) | 31.96% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( -0.22) | 68.42% ( 0.23) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( 0.1) | 34.95% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( 0.1) | 71.69% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 33.16% |
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