Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.