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Roma logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
HL
HJK logo

Roma
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Dybala (47'), Pellegrini (49'), Belotti (68')
Ibanez (25'), Cristante (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hetemaj (29'), Halme (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Roma
Monday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Honka 1-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

We said: Roma 2-0 HJK Helsinki

While HJK's players will have been anticipating their trip to Rome since the draw was first made, they are set to return home empty-handed due to the gulf in resources available to both coaches. Even if Jose Mourinho rotates his squad, the hosts can record their first Group C win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.06%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.19%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHJK Helsinki
65.66% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28) 23.74% (0.103 0.1) 10.59% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 30.64% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.14% (0.031999999999996 0.03)64.85% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.21% (0.023 0.02)83.79% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)19.73% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-0.151 -0.15)51.75% (0.154 0.15)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.17% (0.365 0.37)61.83% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.44% (0.1751 0.18)91.56% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Roma 65.65%
    HJK Helsinki 10.59%
    Draw 23.74%
RomaDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 19.79% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
2-0 @ 16.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 65.65%
0-0 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 1.86% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.065 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.29% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 10.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Roma
Monday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Udinese 4-0 Roma
Sunday, September 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Monza
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cremonese
Monday, August 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Honka 1-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-2 Real Betis
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-1 HIFK
Monday, September 5 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 SJK
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Silkeborg 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, August 25 at 5.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Haka 0-3 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga


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