Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Udinese | 6 | 6 | 13 |
5 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 13 |
6 | Inter Milan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | HJK Helsinki | 21 | 15 | 46 |
2 | KuPS | 21 | 19 | 44 |
3 | Honka | 21 | 25 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.06%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.19%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
65.66% ( -0.28) | 23.74% ( 0.1) | 10.59% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 30.64% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.14% ( 0.03) | 64.85% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.21% ( 0.02) | 83.79% ( -0.02) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.27% ( -0.09) | 19.73% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.25% ( -0.15) | 51.75% ( 0.15) |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.17% ( 0.37) | 61.83% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.44% ( 0.18) | 91.56% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
1-0 @ 19.79% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 16.06% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 65.65% | 0-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.03% Total : 10.59% |
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