Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
