Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Honka had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
Result | ||
KuPS | Draw | Honka |
47.39% ( 0.07) | 26.84% ( -0.13) | 25.78% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.17% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.86% ( 0.5) | 57.14% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22% ( 0.4) | 78.01% ( -0.39) |
KuPS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( 0.25) | 24.14% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( 0.35) | 58.45% ( -0.35) |
Honka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.18% ( 0.33) | 37.82% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.41% ( 0.32) | 74.6% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
KuPS | Draw | Honka |
1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.78% |
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