SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Oulu |
48.94% ( -0.23) | 25.87% ( 0.08) | 25.19% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.05% ( -0.17) | 53.96% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( -0.15) | 75.4% ( 0.15) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.17) | 22.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( -0.27) | 55.42% ( 0.27) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( 0.04) | 36.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( 0.05) | 73.37% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.19% |
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