SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
39.12% ( 0.16) | 26.09% ( -0.06) | 34.78% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.22) | 50.71% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.2) | 72.61% ( -0.2) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( 0.19) | 25.42% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( 0.26) | 60.24% ( -0.26) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( 0.05) | 27.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( 0.06) | 63.53% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.12% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.78% |
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