SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
43.36% ( -0.37) | 25.02% ( 0.15) | 31.62% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -0.56) | 46.85% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( -0.53) | 69.11% ( 0.53) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0.4) | 21.61% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( -0.62) | 54.72% ( 0.63) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( -0.13) | 28.03% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( -0.17) | 63.68% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.62% |
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