Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Inter Turku had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Inter Turku win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
