Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Honka had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
