SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
47.17% ( 0.18) | 26.82% ( 0.09) | 26.01% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.08% ( -0.49) | 56.92% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.17% ( -0.39) | 77.83% ( 0.4) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( -0.13) | 24.15% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% ( -0.18) | 58.46% ( 0.19) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( -0.5) | 37.5% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% ( -0.5) | 74.28% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.17% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.01% |
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