SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
44.92% ( -0.96) | 27.82% ( -0.14) | 27.25% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.55% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.25% ( 1.02) | 59.75% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.95% ( 0.78) | 80.05% ( -0.77) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.02) | 26.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.02) | 61.73% ( 0.02) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% ( 1.52) | 38% ( -1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% ( 1.44) | 74.77% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 44.92% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.25% |
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