Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
