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Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Feb 5, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
PG

Adelaide United
1 - 2
Perth Glory

Mauk (20')
Elsey (4'), Abetew (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fornaroli (73'), Timotheou (83' og.)
Aspropotamitis (29'), Sullivan (51'), Velaphi (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawPerth Glory
44.01%24.42%31.57%
Both teams to score 58.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82%44.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45%66.56%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8%20.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48%52.52%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26%26.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99%62.01%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 44.01%
    Perth Glory 31.57%
    Draw 24.42%
Adelaide UnitedDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 9.11%
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.57%

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