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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
47.07% ( -1.4) | 22.36% ( -0.13) | 30.57% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 65.44% ( 1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.22% ( 1.56) | 34.78% ( -1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.26% ( 1.73) | 56.74% ( -1.73) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( 0.09) | 15.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.99% ( 0.17) | 44.01% ( -0.17) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 1.7) | 22.74% ( -1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( 2.46) | 56.42% ( -2.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.57% |
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