SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
46.02% ( -0.08) | 23.21% ( 0) | 30.76% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.14% ( 0.02) | 38.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.83% ( 0.03) | 61.17% ( -0.03) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( -0.02) | 17.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.45% ( -0.04) | 47.55% ( 0.03) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 0.05) | 24.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.85% ( 0.08) | 59.15% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.08% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.76% |
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